No party a winner - our qualitative research

Dear ,

One of the things that makes us different from most other think tanks is our research into what Australians want on a variety of issues. We believe that listening is a first step to being able to communicate policy effectively.

We have just released our first qualitative research on the Queensland election and I thought you would be interested in it. You can download the report here.

Key points are:

Voters expect a hung parliament 52%, but only 17% want one, with 41% wanting Labor and 39% LNP
Many minor party first preference voters want a major to win, including 41% of ONP voters
Neither of the major parties is cutting through.Most voters (53%) don’t think the government deserves to be re-elected, while only 37% think they do. The position is worse for the opposition with 56% thinking they don’t deserve to be elected, while only 23% think they do.
Tellingly only 50% of LNP voters believe their own party deserves election, while 16% don’t, and another 34% are neutral.
Adani has become a polarising issue for Labor, and its change of direction is widely regarded as cynical. City voters worry about climate change effects of the Carmichael coal mine, so generally don't want it to go ahead. Regional voters connect it with jobs, and do want it to go ahead.
Adani is an issue that only works for the Greens.
The LNP's biggest problem is the ghost of Campbell Newman, with LNP Leader Tim Nicholls having trouble escaping his record as treasurer.
Voters are concerned that One Nation will implode, as it did after the 1998 election.
If the LNP preferences One Nation they can expect to lose some support from traditional voters, but most of the resistance will be from voters who were never going to vote LNP in the first place.
Cost of living, electricity and infrastructure are the dominant issues of the election.

I am happy to talk in more detail if you are interested. My mobile is 0411 104 801.

Regards,

Graham Young
Executive Director
Australian Institute for Progress