House prices could fall by somewhere between 18 and 32 percent by June 2023 according to modelling using the AIP’s Housing Affordability Repayments model.
Topic: Publications
Interest rates go up faster than house prices decline
Despite interest rate rises, house prices have retained most of their value, which has led to a decrease in housing affordability across Australia.
Andrews ahead, but opponents are legion – our polling on Victorian election
The polling shows Premier Daniel Andrews in a winning position, but with potential for votes to escape to the Greens, Teals, and perhaps even some Liberals.
Housing Affordability Index March 2022
Housing repayments were more affordable in the first quarter this year than the last quarter in 2021, but interest rate hikes since then will reverse this.
Exit poll – it was a Seinfeld election
This election was a Seinfeld election – it was more about personalities than plot, and not a lot happened. Before the election cost of living had been a major issue, but it disappears out of our qualitative research
Election Review Panel
The pollster, the professor and the practitioner delivered their verdict on the 2022 federal election.
The cost to Queensland of closing down the coal and gas industries
This paper by Gene Tunny of Adept Economics looks at the cost to the Queensland worker as well as the Queensland government of closing the coal and gas industries.
Defense and security will impact flow of preferences
Australians are extremely united in imposing sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, with 89% supporting, and only 6% opposing. There are also high levels of support for military aid with 75% supporting and 12% opposing.
Housing Affordability Index December 2021
Housing affordability continued to decline in the December quarter last year. This is mainly due to a strong increase in property prices in most cities, although it was only moderate in Australia's largest market, Sydney.
Omnibus Poll March 2022
This is another sullen election, even though both sides exhibit high support for their respective candidates. 60% disagree (versus 30% who agree) that the federal government has done enough to be elected, while 40% disagree (versus 41% who agree) that Labor has done enough to be elected.