"[T]his election…is a sliding doors moment for our nation," declared Peter Dutton, and maybe he was right, and in ways he didn't quite intend.
Topic: Polling
Albanese moves ahead by default
This is the first set of results from our poll that closed on April 3. Compared to our January poll, Peter Dutton has faded while Anthony Albanese has moved ahead, mostly as a result.
Omnibus Poll January 2025
The race is tight between the two major parties on paper, but at this stage I’d prefer to be Peter Dutton than Anthony Albanese.
Exit Poll, Queensland 2024
This was a time for a change election. Not "climate change" but change of government.
NSW election 2023 Survey 1
Voters are unenthusiastic about the choice between the government and the opposition and moderately unenthusiastic about the direction of the state. Cost of living is the major issue, which includes housing affordability and the cost of electricity.
How much paint will Dan Andrews lose?
The takeout from focus group polling is that the Victorian premier is expected to win – which leaves plenty of scope for voters to send a message.
Exit poll – it was a Seinfeld election
This election was a Seinfeld election – it was more about personalities than plot, and not a lot happened. Before the election cost of living had been a major issue, but it disappears out of our qualitative research
Defense and security will impact flow of preferences
Australians are extremely united in imposing sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, with 89% supporting, and only 6% opposing. There are also high levels of support for military aid with 75% supporting and 12% opposing.
Omnibus Poll March 2022
This is another sullen election, even though both sides exhibit high support for their respective candidates. 60% disagree (versus 30% who agree) that the federal government has done enough to be elected, while 40% disagree (versus 41% who agree) that Labor has done enough to be elected.
Exit poll Queensland 2020
What is clear is that by the end of the election, COVID-19 and the government's handling of it was the major issue for people changing their votes, as it was for Labor voters overall.