After our last poll we realised we lacked a mechanism that could explain the remarkable rise of One Nation on the one hand and the decline of the Coalition on the other.
Topic: Polling
Voters will keep voting Labor, even when dissatisfied
When Coalition voters prefer Pauline Hanson to their own leader, something has broken.
Liberal Party was in desperate straits before the latest polling that puts One Nation on up to 29%
In January just before the removal of Sussan Ley the Liberal Party was in dire straits. It is not surprising it has got worse for it.
Why Crisafulli should study Borbidge govt, not Newman government
Queensland history offers a warning: competent one-term governments still lose. Borbidge shows how silence, One Nation, and misread voters can undo reform—unless Crisafulli learns the right lesson.
Beyond the sliding doors election
"[T]his election…is a sliding doors moment for our nation," declared Peter Dutton, and maybe he was right, and in ways he didn't quite intend.
Albanese moves ahead by default
This is the first set of results from our poll that closed on April 3. Compared to our January poll, Peter Dutton has faded while Anthony Albanese has moved ahead, mostly as a result.
Omnibus Poll January 2025
The race is tight between the two major parties on paper, but at this stage I’d prefer to be Peter Dutton than Anthony Albanese.
Exit Poll, Queensland 2024
This was a time for a change election. Not "climate change" but change of government.
NSW election 2023 Survey 1
Voters are unenthusiastic about the choice between the government and the opposition and moderately unenthusiastic about the direction of the state. Cost of living is the major issue, which includes housing affordability and the cost of electricity.
How much paint will Dan Andrews lose?
The takeout from focus group polling is that the Victorian premier is expected to win – which leaves plenty of scope for voters to send a message.
